In 2008, the Garnaut Climate Change Review said Australia would face a more dangerous fire season by 2020.
Twelve years ago, economist Ross Garnaut led an independent study of the impacts of climate change on the Australian economy. The Garnaut Climate Change Review’s final report said projections of fire weather “suggest that fire seasons will start earlier, end slightly later, and generally be more intense. This effect increases over time, but should be directly observable by 2020.”
Broadly, the report stated, “the weight of scientific evidence tells us that Australians are facing risks of damaging climate change”.
“The risk can be substantially reduced by strong, effective and early action by all major economies. Australia will need to play its full proportionate part in global action. As one of the developed countries, its full part will be relatively large, and involve major early changes to established economic structure.”
On Monday, SBS News asked Mr Garnaut his reaction to the current conditions, in light of the 2008 report. “It’s one of sadness, that I was ineffective. Having been given the opportunity to talk to Australians on this issue, that I was ineffective in persuading Australians that it was in our national interest to play a positive role in a global effort to mitigate the effects of climate change,” he said.
However, Mr Garnaut said, “although things are bad, they will keep on getting worse if the concentrations of greenhouse gas emissions in the atmosphere keep increasing”.
The report said there could be a 300 per cent increase in the number of days with extreme fire weather by 2067.
Original source: https://www.sbs.com.au